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The Impact of the Internet and Intranet on Business
By
John S. Leggate, CIO &
Group Vice President, Digital Business, BP p.l.c
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The Foundation for
Science and Technology,
The
Royal Society, London
27th November 2002 |
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Seven years ago investors in the US and Europe saw the rising of the
first Internet wave. This became a tidal wave - generating enormous
energy, sucking up liquidity and driving investment in digital
infrastructure. However, demand for digital services and
infrastructure grew more slowly than expected – and revenues did not
grow fast enough to justify the investment. And so, seven quarters
ago, the wave broke. |
The ensuing collapse in stock values undermined
shareholder confidence and contributed to a growing scepticism about the
Internet’s contribution to national productivity and competitiveness.
Nonetheless, studies in the US have shown the growth rate
of labour productivity to increase from an annual rate of 1.77% in
1973-94 to 2.64% in 1995-99 while adopting IT. Even after the recent
crash, productivity is projected at a trend rate of 2.24% per year with
a range of 1.33% to 2.98%.
Although no direct link has been established between
technology spending and productivity per employee, the studies have
concluded that the U.S. productivity revival remains largely intact and
that IT has played a central role.
A longer-term perspective tells us there have been other
‘booms and busts’ in the history of revolutionary technologies,
especially ‘connector technologies’ like railways, canals and
telephones. They go through several stages of development, including the
sort of shake-out that overtook the Internet, before reaching maturity.
After the shake-out comes the build-out, as the new technology becomes
an engine of growth and moves the economy to a higher level of
productivity.
It’s in this context that, despite damage to the
technology sector and millions of shareholders, big business users – the
real customers for this technology – have had a rather different
experience. For them, the build-out is under way as the Internet and
digital technology provide new tools for the deep, long-term
transformation of their businesses and the nature of work.
BP’s digital experience has paralleled a dramatic
expansion of our global interests and operations and a major shift in
the composition of our energy portfolio. In the process, BP’s business
has changed significantly – in shape, size and structure.
BP had to be capable of performing at this new global
scale and deliver the added value promised to shareholders.
This demands full transparency of business performance in
order constantly to improve and produce sustainable value to
shareholders.
It has meant inter-connecting the company so that it can
interact with the entirety of its people and physical assets, finances
and costs, and evaluate its risks. High performance has been the BP
culture for almost a decade. Now we have to do it in fast time.
BP committed to make the company ‘deeply digital’,
capable of ‘living on the Web’; a company that was ‘always on’.
There would be nothing we could not know, learn or transact that was not
available through a Web browser, at any time, wherever we were.
We are driving digital technology into almost every
corner of the company, using it to unlock new oil and gas reserves,
cut production costs and make our employees one of the world’s most
mobile, yet most connected workforces.
We are in the early stages of this journey – we have made
mistakes and we wrestle ceaselessly with limitations of our
technological legacy and business process which we built for a different
era. We have also had to be hard-headed about controlling costs,
capturing benefits and ensuring that our digital innovation is focused
on achieving business delivery.
And when I think about the deep dependency of modern
companies on digital technology and digital infrastructure, it occurs to
me that this may also be true for government as well.
In which case, three things come into focus.
-
The
Web is no longer merely a tool for improved performance; it is a vital
piece of business process infrastructure, central to the business
architecture, efficacy and security for modern businesses and
countries.
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Business and government in the industrialised world are becoming more
and more dependent on the public infrastructures supporting the
Internet.
-
Many
public infrastructures beyond telecoms are equally dependent on
digital capability.
At the same time, it is one of the Internet’s
extraordinary features that, although so much now depends on it, no
single authority either owns or is accountable for it. It is a web
without a spider. And it has developed a life of its own -- it is
already no longer possible to draw a complete map of the Internet; its
rate of expansion daily outstrips our capacity to map it.
We also know more about the properties of the Internet as
a complex network – designed to be resilient yet we are learning from
experience that in reality there are critical hubs and concentration
points. Disable key hubs and a network can fragment and even collapse.
In sum, we see how dependent we have become on the
Internet for our economic advancement and the welfare and security of
our societies. And we see the ‘dark side’ of our dependency -- how
exposed we could be now to the risk of digital failure, be it from
technology failure, supplier failure or the geopolitical tensions that
can lead to outbreaks of targeted cyber terrorism.
Which begs the question - should we be conducting a more
fundamental review of the robustness of our digital infrastructure –
both nationally and internationally?
This brings me to a fourth point –
“Are we doing enough to ensure that the
UK will be a world leader in e-business?”
Last week’s Booz Allen Report on International E-economy
Benchmarking places the UK second behind the US as ‘an environment for
e-business’. The benchmark, essentially, is the G7.
By any measure this looks like considerable progress
towards the Prime Minister’s pledge in 2000 to make the UK the best
place in the world to do e-business by 2005. The report is a
comprehensive and very well assembled health check and we are studying
it carefully.
But it misses, I think, an important question: What race
are we in – and with whom? Is the G7 a sufficient benchmark in defining
future success? Because it obviously excludes some of the world’s real
pace setters – South Korea, India, China – countries that increasingly
offer serious competition in the global market place.
The report also acknowledges what is well known -- that
in business broadband connections alone, Britain lags well behind
Germany, France, Italy; and that the rate of take-up and use by
individuals and government is still too slow.
In other words, despite the Government’s present
initiatives and good intentions and the urgency expressed by the Prime
Minister in calling for our national effort to roll out broadband to be
speeded up, the UK is still at risk of falling further behind other
nations in terms of underlying productivity and global competitiveness.
The need for urgency comes home to me on my visits to
India. Here, government and the private sector have been working
together to leverage India’s competitive advantages and establish a
world class IT sector. This is attracting a tide of investment from the
US and Europe. Today India is the world’s top IT outsourcing haven; 30%
of the world’s software engineers today are Indians; and 200,000 have
found jobs in Silicon Valley.
Similar models are at work for Ireland, Canada and
Eastern Europe and China is catching up.
So, are we really doing enough?
All told, after reviewing the Government’s action plans,
I think there is still a good debate to be had as to whether we are
diverting enough strategic resource to our objective of global
e-business leadership.
In this regard, the broadband roll-out is fundamental.
Why? Because –
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Each
technological revolution has its own infrastructure. For the steam
engine, it was rail. For cars, the highway. For the digital economy,
it’s broadband connection to the Internet backbone.
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Broadband is about more than
mere speed. It’s about being ‘always on’ and our ability to access
existing systems and business processes – and have them working and
talking together: seamlessly.
World leadership in e-business also needs appropriate
incentives, tax regimes, regulatory frameworks and a key point not
raised in the report – the crucial importance of recognised
international accreditation for our people and processes in the global
market place.
Ultimately it is about our national digital capability –
our people – both in number and quality – compared with the competition.
In summing up, I want to suggest four areas for action
and understanding:
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To
ensure that the Internet and digital technology are accorded the same
priority, security and resources as other key elements of our public
infrastructure.
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In
terms of national risk management, we need to map our dependency on
digital technology, know its full extent, identify its critical nodes
and understand the critical national risks associated with those
nodes, so that we can better defend and harden the network – and
develop contingency plans.
3.
Take note of the shift of
corporate traffic from private intranets towards the public Internet.
Until now, private companies here and abroad have financed large chunks
of proprietary intranets for their own needs. I believe we are rapidly
approaching the demise of the corporate intranet as these companies
can’t and won’t continue doing this from their individual resources for
much longer. In future, business wants its digital endeavours supported
by existing public infrastructure – and this will become a key factor in
decisions of global companies when locating their business operations.
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We
need to get the message over that there are benefits for all
businesses, and help SMEs that are still on the outside of this
phenomenon, to engage with it. Earlier this year BT held a series of
broadband summits, involving 400 small-business leaders from across
the UK. Most said that they wanted to invest, but felt they lacked the
knowledge and skills to capitalise on the Internet as a business
channel. Only a small percentage cited money as the reason. As many as
45 percent said they simply didn’t know enough about it.
And finally, I want to go back to the vision expressed by
the Prime Minister in 2000 – “to make the UK the best place in the world
to do e-Business.” – and pose the question – if we are really serious
about this agenda, what further acts of leadership will be demanded of
business, government and academia, working together, to ensure that
Britain keeps up with the world’s most competitive countries - to ensure
that the UK sets the Trend and becomes the Next Wave?
JOHN S LEGGATE
CIO and GROUP VICE PRESIDENT, DIGITAL
BUSINESS, BP
AS CIO of BP, John Leggate is responsible
for the development of BP’s
digital capability – its related systems,
technology, business processes
and opportunities – across the 150 business
units that comprise the
company’s global operations, upstream and
downstream.
Leggate, a chartered engineer, a graduate of
Glasgow University and a
Fellow of the IEE, began his career in
marine consultancy and nuclear
energy before joining BP Exploration in
1979. During the 1980-90s he
held posts of increasing responsibility in
the management and operating
of BP’s North Sea oil and gas assets.
In 1998, he was appointed President of BP’s
Azerbaijan International
Operating Company, in which capacity he was
tasked to manage BP’s
interests in the unfolding geopolitical and
economic debate that centres
on crude oil export routes from the Caspian
Sea.
Leggate has a particular interest in
executive leadership, the
management of high-performance teams,
organisational change, and
knowledge management. He is a member of the
BP Group Senior
Leadership Team, and is closely involved in
the development of corporate
policy on technology foresight, global
environmental performance, and
sustainability.
He is married with four children, lives in
London and travels widely on
behalf of the company.
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