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At
this year's UK Technology Innovation and Growth Forum
held this month in London, some 240 of the leading executives
from the software industry gathered to debate the state
of the enterprise software sector and whether we were
seeing its demise in Europe. The debate was held as
part of the Prince's Trust Technology Leadership Group.
Presenting a paper entitled, 'The demise of the European
software industry: two minute warning', Adam Hale of
Russell Reynolds Associates, an executive recruitment
firm, set the scene by suggesting four main reasons
why only three of the 20 most valuable software firms
in the world were European.
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The paper
was a summary of the research carried out within the
industry sector and amongst its peers. Hale found:
1.There is a lack of management talent pool with startup
experience.
2. Poorer execution of product and service delivery
and inability to develop a balanced channel partner
strategy.
3. An inability to exploit the potential of a single
European market and successfully penetrating the US
market.
4. Differences in investor behaviour between Europe
and the USA.
Below is a summary of the key points in the debate
and The Chilli perspective on each of the major points.
First give us the evidence
The number of European software companies with revenues
of greater than $40 million have fallen to less than
30 in 2005, compared to over 40 in 2002. Only two
European companies have revenues greater than $1 billion,
namely SAP and Misys. In terms of valuations only
three Europeans companies, namely SAP, Dassault Systems
and Sage, have comparable valuation with their worldwide
peers. The number of sizeable European software companies
is declining fast as more of the remaining pool gets
acquired by US companies; recent examples include
Staffware, Merant, London Bridge, Eyretel and Sherwood.
And European software companies tend to stall when
they hit $15 million in revenues.
Lack of management talent pool with startup experience
All of the top 50 software companies in Europe have
a first time CEO - which means they are performing
a function they have not performed before. While some
might overcome the steep learning curve this presents,
it has a ripple down effect on the rest of the management,
many of them having to perform tasks for a first time
too. This lack of experience may be one of the reasons
why investors are wary and slightly distrustful about
investing in European startups - because they cannot
see a demonstrable track record among the senior management
team. The result is that European investors often
drip-feed capital in a piecemeal fashion over several
rounds as opposed to US investors who are known to
be 'tough' but more generous and at an earlier stage.
In US companies, many of the CEOs are often on their
second, third or fourth assignment as CEO. They prefer
to keep their skills in the talent pool or the industry
ecosystem, rather than withdraw after making enough
one time financial gain - a typical characteristic
of a European first-time CEO. They are often motivated
by peer pressure, to repeat the experience and achieve
greater things. For example, if they made $1m the
first time round, then they want to make $5m the next
time, and so on.
By contrast, in Europe, the CEO is often not willing
to take on the effort, strain and risk of doing it
again, aiming to realise enough wealth 'so I don't
have to be a CEO gain'. By not repeating their experience,
there is less likelihood of that experience being
passed on to others.
The Chilli perspective: the scenario
portrayed is not necessarily a software specific problem,
but applies to many other technology sectors in Europe
and other parts of the world - as was pointed out
by Mitchell Kertzmann of VC firm Hummer Winbald. Domination
by a handful of vendors, especially where one or two
worldwide vendors have monopolistic power and disproportionate
market share in a given sector, is a major problem
worldwide.
The semiconductor industry is one such example. For
a sector to have a degree of successes, it needs a
healthy local market and an ecosystem of suppliers
and customers. The situation has been exasperated
further by the now well-accepted market failure of
early stage and seed capital market in Europe. The
US started addressing this problem way back in the
1950s, and supported its nascent technology industry
with long-term support by guaranteeing a percentage
of the massive federal research budgets and federal
procurement programmes to small companies, worth more
than $100 billion.
They also overcame the market failure of early stage
capital by formulating many seed level, high risk
and early stage capital infusions via small business
investment companies (SBICs) and support programmes
like loan guarantees via small business administration
SBA, without which the likes of Fairchild, Intel,
AMD, TI, Motorola, Compaq, HP or even Microsoft, would
not exist today. This created a whole new pool of
technology startup companies which fed off each other
creating a whole new ecosystem of experienced technology
managers and, equally important, an early stage capital
management pool.
The Chilli has been campaigning for four years to
have similar programmes in Europe, and as of today,
the European governments are still debating these
issues, confusing the key objectives with state aid
programmes; this is literally wasting the massive
EU wide research programmes which will not be commercialised
or exploited successfully.
Europe needs more visionary industry leaders, trade
bodies, government and educational institutes and
executive teams. Experienced entrepreneurs and managers
need more public recognition, plus peer and financial
rewards if they are to remain as active participants
in the industry even after relative success, in order
to develop, nurture or mentor the next generation
of bigger and better companies. Furthermore an educational
effort to remove the stigma of failures needs to be
encouraged so that if an entrepreneurs falls down,
he is more likely to get up and be encouraged to give
it another go, rather than been ostracised, as at
the present. This will encourage a larger pool of
experienced entrepreneurs and startup CxOs.
Poorer execution of product and service delivery,
and inability to develop a balanced channel partner
strategy
According to the paper, there is a huge skills gap
between being head of a European sales and marketing
operation of a US based company, and being a CEO of
a European startup.
The vast majority of European managers who had previously
worked in sales, marketing, customer support and applications
feel rather daunted when faced with decision making
in areas where they have very little exposure. For
example in disciplines like corporate governance,
board management, financial metrics like balance sheets,
as well as P & L and product development and HR
management issues. European firms tend to focus too
much on the product and product customisation rather
than develop reseller and partner channels.
The Chilli perspective: what the report
is highlighting is the symptom of under-capitalisation
that is faced by numerous European startups and technology
firms. European firms are expected to survive on one
quarter of the capital amount in a non-homogenous
European market, which adds further costs. It is easy
to criticise a firm that is literally in survival
mode as it strives to meet all customer requests,
and hit its revenue target set by the investors.
Not doing the customisation means lost orders, and
that is not always wise unless you have an investor
who will give you enough market development time to
let you stick to your standard offering. Under-capitalisation
also has a nasty side effect: lack of sufficient capital
means you cannot hire the requisite numbers of sales,
marketing, channel and partner strategy staff that
will deliver effective results over a reasonable time
period. So European companies focus on product development
as they don't have the luxury of doing both, due to
inadequate capital infusion.
Inability to exploit the potential of a single
European market and successfully penetrating the US
market
The UK Technology Innovation and Growth Forum debated
this point on several discussion panels, highlighting
some of the daunting challenges. There are several
different issues regarding the difficulty of penetrating
the multilingual European market, as well as preference
for domestic suppliers, especially in the service
sector.
The debate raised the issue that it would be easier
for a UK-based software company to penetrate the US
market than build a presence in the European market.
The subject of hiring an experienced US executive
who then goes and builds a whole set of sales, marketing,
product support and application infrastructure locally,
thus creating a dual HQ structure, was also highlighted
as one of the key challenges facing a European startup.
The dual HQ creates unnecessary conflicts, confusion
and bad feeling, resulting in some startups ending
up being acquired or liquidated as a result. European
CEOs who haven't had sufficient US experience will
also not get much respect from their US employees.
Conversely, it was found useful to hire US staff with
some European exposure or affiliation, via work assignments
or family ties.
The Chilli perspective: in some market
sectors, Europe has major strengths, namely mobile,
consumer electronics, and telecoms. It is far easier
to penetrate and build strength in your home market,
than rush off to a distant market, where the business
rules are different and where the competition is more
local, ambitious and hungry.
Many European companies go to the US market, without
adequate preparation; as one executive put it, "We
opened our first US office in Washington state, home
of the well known software company, but we soon found
out that it was easier to deal with our customers
from the UK, as most of them were located on the East
coast. We soon learned our mistake and closed our
west coast operation and moved to the east coast."
Although, it may be true that the US is the biggest
market, it is also true that it is the most competitive
market, with strong local vendors who are always better
equipped than a European vendor with only skeleton
staff. It is therefore critical that the decision
to move to the US is well prepared and well timed.
Nevertheless, one must keep coming to the same old
subject of under-capitalisation. It would be suicidal
for a vendor to start their US operation without adequate
funding in place, as it may jeopardise the whole company.
Interestingly, the debate hardly touched on the subject
of China and India, as the next big opportunities,
both in terms of deflationary operating expense, R
& D and new market potential.
Indifferent investor behaviour
The debate acknowledged that, like in the software
industry, the VC industry is also under-developed
in Europe, with very few VC partners having business-building
experience. This sometimes leads to VCs not knowing
where the weak stress points are and how to fix them.
Sometimes, they solely rely on the management team
to feed them with market information and benchmarks
for milestones. This sometimes inhibits them in replacing
non performing founders, CEO and executives.
The issues debated throughout the conference have
previously been covered in various articles in The
Chilli . For example, that of European VCs drip feeding
their portfolio companies in smaller amounts rather
than taking bigger risks and bolder, more ambitious
goals. The conflicts of new CEOs with existing tribes
following the original founders was also brought to
light.
The Chilli perspective: there are two
distinct but related issues here, one of managing
a successful portfolio company, and that of the underdeveloped
VC industry. The biggest achievement so far in the
European VC industry is recognising and acknowledging
the shortcomings. Although Europe started relatively
late in the venture-backed business building process,
it can learn from the mistakes of others. Fortunately,
there are many industry sectors in Europe, where business
building is part of the lifeblood.
The VC industry needs to tap into this pool and be
more bold in their recruitment efforts. Experienced
global CEOs and business builders are not a limited
monopolistic market, as the private equity industry
has found out in the leveraged buyout markets. Global,
ambitious companies need global, ambitious leaders.
So find them and hire them, regardless of their nationality,
even if it means that they earn twice as much as your
senior general partner and you don't feel comfortable
with them.
Having said that the VC industry is taking note and
hiring more industry experienced General Partners;
it will be some time before their efforts come to
light. The relative successes of some post-IPO companies
is also encouraging VCs to take a bolder role in co-syndicating,
so that larger dollops of cash can be invested.
With regard to relationships with original founders
and the A-team, more industry-wide effort needs to
be made to align the interests of related parties.
This is partly educational and partly related to how
much equity is given out at the beginning. Investors
need to figure out what is a reasonable threshold,
beyond which the original founders become the enemy
within. If at the onset, an expectation is built up
as to how to progress the career of the original founders
and visionary leaders, then transition to a new management
team would be much easier.
Comments on this story?
Send an email to the editor at chilli@ariadnecapital.com
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